Emmy PredictionsSunday, September 22, 2013
I LOVE awards shows. When we have a house that we can entertain in, I'd love to have an awards show party (it's seriously something I've wanted to do since I was a kid). But alas, I don't currently have room, so I have to be content live-tweeting it instead. But since I can't have a party, I thought I'd blog about who I think will (and who should) win awards tonight (plus that way, if I'm right, there's proof that I called it if I don't tweet it first). To save some time though, I'm just going to keep it to the two big categories (drama and comedy).
Outstanding Drama Series
Game of Thrones
House of Cards
Admittedly, I don't watch a lot of these. I fully think it SHOULD be Game of Thrones, not only because it's AMAZING, but because the Red Wedding episode was possibly one of the most heart-wrenching things to air on TV all year. But HBO series rarely get the recognition they deserve, and this year won't be an exception. I'm impressed that the Netflix series House of Cards is included, but ultimately, I think Breaking Bad will take it home. I can't tell you how many Breaking Bad posts were in my news feed after the episode a week or so ago; everyone was gobsmacked by it. That kind of buzz tends to make good things happen on awards nights. Emmy voters really love Homeland though, so I could be completely wrong.
Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Connie Britton, Nashville
Claire Danes, Homeland
Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey
Vera Farmiga, Bates Motel
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Kerry Washington, Scandal
Robin Wright, House of Cards
Emmy voters LOVE Claire Danes. Like, really love her. I won't be surprised at all if she wins her second Emmy in a row. Though all the women are really deserving, I'm secretly pulling for Kerry Washington. Not only would she be the first African-American woman to win, but she is a force to be reckoned with as Olivia Pope. Scandal is an all-around amazing show; the whole cast is wonderful, and the plots are intoxicating, but it's Washington's portrayal of Pope that really hooks you. She's a phenom.
Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Damian Lewis, Homeland
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
This is Bryan Cranston's category. Damian Lewis put an end to his streak last year, but with all the attention around Breaking Bad, and Walter White's descent into further craziness, I think Cranston could take it back this year.
Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Morena Baccarin, Homeland
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
I'm a little torn on this. On one hand, I'm inclined to go with Anna Gunn because I think Breaking Bad might end up breaking the Emmys by taking them all this year. I love, love, LOVE Emilia Clarke, and her portrayal of Daenerys is flawless, but again, HBO doesn't get much Emmy love, and I feel like her story arc in the first season was a lot more deserving of an Emmy than this past season (really, if any actress on GoT should have gotten an Emmy nom for the third season, it was probably Michelle Fairley. Holy heartbreak, Batman). And then there's Maggie Smith. I mean, she's Maggie Smith. She's amazing in everything. And Downton has so many amazing qualities, but she might be my favorite part. So I think I might have to give her the edge over Anna Gunn, just because I'm pretty sure she's made of pure awesome.
Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Jonathan Banks, Breaking Bad
Bobby Cannavale, Boardwalk Empire
Jim Carter, Downton Abbey
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
I love Aaron Paul. I've loved him from the first time I saw him in Big Love. And keeping with the whole "Breaking Bad will win ALL THE THINGS!" thing, he'll probably win this one too. But I think it should be Peter Dinklage. Game of Thones has so many amazing performances, but I truly think his is definitely one of the best. He brings so much to the role of Tyrion; you appreciate his humor, sympathize for his strained relationships, and still fear him because you know he's probably the smartest guy in Westeros.
Outstanding Comedy Series
The Big Bang Theory
Honestly, I don't know if 30 Rock will win. It should (the final season was AWESOME), but Modern Family could take it yet again. And honestly, I would be okay with it if it did; Modern Family is definitely one of the best shows on TV. I'm mostly just upset that the completely amazing Parks and Recreation was snubbed.
Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
Laura Dern, Enlightened
Lena Dunham, Girls
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Emmy voters love Tina Fey, and what better way to bid adieu to Liz Lemon? I know I'm going to miss her on my TV. I like to think Tina Fey is a cooler, prettier, grownup version of me (yes, I might be a tad delusional). I'd love to see Amy Poehler win, but it won't happen. Parks and Rec doesn't get nearly the attention it deserves.
Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Jason Bateman, Arrested Development
Louis C.K., Louie
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Even though the new season of Arrested Development was HI-LAR-I-OUS, and Jason Bateman's performance was hysterical (particularly the whole living-in-George Michael's-dorm-room thing), it'll be snubbed. Though Emmy darling Parsons could definitely take it, this has been a long time coming for Louis C.K.
Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Anna Chlumsky, Veep
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
Jane Lynch, Glee
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Merritt Weaver, Nurse Jackie
I've been a huge Julie Bowen fan for years (I LOVE Happy Gilmore, and my dad and I watched Ed religiously when it was on), and she's amazing on Modern Family. In such a large, talented, ensemble, she still manages to shine as the extremely type-A Claire. I wouldn't be surprised if Jane Krakowski nabbed it though; she really stepped it up in 30 Rock's final season.
Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Adam Driver, Girls
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Bill Hader, Saturday Night Live
Ed O'Neill, Modern Family
Tony Hale, Veep
With half the nominations, one of the Modern Family guys stands a really good chance of taking it home. I'm torn between Ty Burrell and Jesse Tyler Ferguson though, because both had really awesome performances, and Phil and Mitchell are so different that it can be hard to compare the two. Let's just say one of them is going to win, and go with that.
What are your picks? Am I completely off-base?